KBB: November U.S. New-Vehicle ATP Near $50K — Incentives, EV Prices and Pickup Demand Drive Market





Summary


Executive summary

U.S. new-vehicle prices in November held just under $50,000 as affluent buyers and a richer product mix continued to anchor the market. Incentives edged up from October but remained lower than a year earlier, while strong demand for full-size pickups contrasted with weakening electric-vehicle sales despite more generous discounts.

Prices and incentives

  • Average transaction price (ATP): $49,814 (+1.3% year over year; flat vs. October’s $49,760).
  • Average incentives: 6.7% of ATP (or $3,347) vs. 7.9% a year ago; up from 6.5% in October. Year to date, incentives average ~7.0% of ATP.
  • Average MSRP: +1.7% year over year and +0.3% month over month; above $50,000 since April due to a richer mix.
  • Seasonality: Prices usually peak in December as higher-priced vehicles comprise a larger share; a modest uptick is expected.

Mix shift and segments

  • Full-size pickups: Average MSRP $70,178 (+1.8% YoY; little changed MoM); incentives steady at 8.4% of ATP. Sales: 182,000+ units, 14.2% of total market.
  • Entry-level models: Vehicles under $30,000 were just 7.5% of sales (down from 10.3% a year earlier). Top sellers: Toyota Corolla, Chevrolet Trax, Hyundai Elantra.
  • High-end: Vehicles with MSRPs above $75,000 represented 10.8% of sales.
  • Buyer profile: Nearly half of buyers are 55+ and in peak earning years, skewing demand toward higher-end SUVs and trucks.

Electric vehicles (EVs)

  • Average EV ATP: $58,638 (+3.7% YoY; -0.8% MoM).
  • EV incentives: 13.3% of ATP (+20.1% vs. October; still 4.1% below last November).
  • EV sales: Just over 70,000 units, down 40%+ year over year and ~5% vs. October; a second consecutive weak month.

Tesla highlights

  • Average Tesla ATP: $54,310 (-1.7% YoY; +1.5% MoM).
  • Sales: Down 22.7% year over year; second straight monthly decline.
  • Model 3: Volume -42.1% YoY; -11.9% MoM.
  • Model Y: Price +0.9% YoY and MoM; volume -0.5% vs. last November, +2.5% vs. October.
  • Cybertruck: 1,194 units (lowest monthly volume of 2025); average price $94,254, higher than both a year earlier and October.

Market context and outlook

November’s plateau reflects a year of gradual price gains capped by a stabilized ATP just under $50,000, driven by a high share of premium SUVs and full-size trucks. Transaction prices remain below MSRPs as incentives partially offset elevated list prices. Given typical year-end mix, December is likely to see a slight price lift. A fuller EV sales readout is expected next week.

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